Experiment 246

“F14.3: the duress reading, a running key from English text with an English message: 0125's 3.7 million forced keys on the dictionary tables (and the sculpture's), ranked by MIX8m instead of quadgrams, the best read by the blind judge; K4 against 50 shuffles, 0125's 20 plants”

F14.3 (issue #93). 0125 asked whether the 24 key letters forced at the known places read as English, scored by quadgrams (power 11 of 20 plants); 0221 (A6.1) rejudged only each text's quadgram-best reading. Here the same exhaustive space (208,062 dictionary keyword tables x 3 configurations x 3 rules x 2 key alphabets, plus the 24 settings of the sculpture's own standard and KRYPTOS tables) is ranked by F13.3's MIX8m (1.95 bits per letter against the quadgrams' 1.75): each rule's 300 quadgram-best forced keys rescored by MIX8m over the two windows, and the 3 MIX8m-best of each text read by the blind judge, window by window.

revertedstatus
experiment 125parents
11 mintime, all phases
0candidates
0/24known letters
unclocked
1

The experiment method

What the method does with the 24 known letters.

A trick for agents who might be captured: let the secret key be an ordinary passage of a book, so that a captor who forces you to give it up gets something that looks harmless. If K4the carved letters The 97 letters cut into the copper at the CIA, shown at the top of every experiment page. was made that way, then where we know the messagethe message The 97 letters of English that Jim Sanborn wrote and enciphered., working backwardsa mirror Reading or writing the text from the end to the start. gives 24 letters of that passage, which should read as English. An earlier test scored them with a simple four-letter-group count; here we use our best English model and then ask the language model judge, comparing K4 with shuffles of its own letters treated the same way.

Words in the margin are defined on the glossary page.

1.1

The method at work

The carved letters go in at the top; the reading comes out at the bottom.

OBKRUOXOGHULBSOLIFBBWEASTNORTHEASTOTWTQSJQSSEKZZWATJKLUDIAWINFBBERLINCLOCKWGDKZXTJCDIGKUHUAUEKCAR20 planted running keys (Carter as the key) on random dictionary tables: best MIX8m above every shuffle of K4? 20 of 20 (0125's quadgrams: 11)120foundnot foundthe judge on each text's best key, window by window: plants above every shuffle 12 of 20; K4 18.5, shuffles' median 10, max 46120above every shufflenotK4's best forced key ILLTRICKFRKACMUCHUNKMUNT (CATBIRD std-W key W): MIX8m p 0.5882 against 50 shufflesEASTNORTHEASTBERLINCLOCKIN: THE COPPER, ALL 97 LETTERS, THE 24 KNOWN PLACES IN ACCENTOUT: NO READING; THE RUNNING KEY'S BOOK IS UNKNOWN, SO ONLY THE 24 FORCED KEY LETTERS ARE JUDGED
the idea

F14.3: a duress key, a passage of an ordinary book, so a captor who gets the key sees harmless English.

the check

The 24 key letters forced at the known places on 1,248,380 tables, ranked by the best English model, the best read by the judge; K4 against 50 shuffles.

the bound

Plants found 20 of 20 by the model; K4 inside its shuffles (p 0.5882), the judge reads K4's best key at 18.5, under the shuffles' best.

2

Experiment lineage

What this experiment was built on, from the lineage page: 7 experiments before it, back to the root of its line. Its number is in bold.

kept reverted, in its family's colour ×error or timeout reverted under today's rules built on a parent in the same family built on a parent in another family
3

Best candidate against the known letters

This experiment produced no candidate: the search ruled everything out before a full text was built. Its product is the bounded negative under Result and bounds below.

4

Walkthrough, by hand

Redo the method on a few letters with pencil and paper.

  1. Take a table, say one built on the word HOLOZOIC on the plain side with the standard alphabet on the cipher side.
  2. At place 22 the message has E and the copper F: find which key letter turns E into F on that table.
  3. Do this at all 24 known places: 13 key letters for 22-34 and 11 for 64-74.
  4. If the key were a passage of a book, these would be two pieces of English: score them with the English model.
  5. Do it for every table and way of reading the table, keep the best, and compare K4's best with what shuffles of K4 reach; ask the judge to read the best pieces.
the worksheet: the first steps by hand, on squared paper
MIX8m bitsforced keytablerule-103.3ILLTRICKFRKACMUCHUNKMUNTCATBIRD std-W key Wvig-106.7RTHCLMANFSEAGANAMIXOPEDCSKIAMETRY W-W key stdbeau-107.1TSBIZKSLOSTAKRESTINTPSIAPOETHOOD W-W key stdvarShuffles' best MIX8m: median -102.5, max -95.8; every plant's best -88.3 or higher. Judge calls 426, none failed.K4'S THREE BEST FORCED KEYS BY MIX8M (13 LETTERS AT 22-34, THEN 11 AT 64-74)
5

Worked example, generated

The same steps run by the code on the real letters.

The key letters forced at the known places on the sculpture's own table (Vigenere, KRYPTOS alphabet both sides):

place  known  carved  key letter
   22      E       F           R
   23      A       L           D
   24      S       R           U
   25      T       V           M
   64      B       N           E
   65      E       Y           L
   66      R       P           Y

If the key were a passage of a book, the 13 letters at 22-34 and the 11 at 64-74 would read as English.
6

Hypothesis, for a cryptanalyst

Family, key space, the constraint under test, and the clues it reads.

Scheidt's duress codes (03-scheidt-said.md, 2011: 'similar to what would be provided agents or pilots in case of capture'; 2015: 'I used to make those codes, for captured people'; Gillogly 2013 on 'multi-layered ciphers for which you can give up a key to the enemy that produces credible plaintext'; C5(c), C6). A running key that is itself English text gives a captor a believable key; C5 'a named text' read for any text. 0125 closed F1.3 by quadgrams; A6.1 held it; the stronger model can only sharpen the ranking. Model: c = C[P(p) + k] (and the variant and Beaufort rules), k read through the standard or the table's keyword alphabet; the 24 forced key letters (13 at 22-34, 11 at 64-74) would be two windows of English. Pre-registered: statistic = the best MIX8m log2 probability over the two windows; K4 flags at p < 0.05 against 50 shuffles; the judge's mean score over the two windows of each text's MIX8m-best key, K4 counts only above every shuffle. A plant (0125's: Carter's text as the key) is found when its statistic is above every shuffle of K4's (as 0125).

7

Prediction

Written before the run; the result decides it.

Plants found more often than 0125's 11 of 20 (about 15 of 20). K4 inside its shuffles by MIX8m (p above 0.05) and by the judge (not above every shuffle). F14.3 closes as sampled.

8

Method

  1. 0125's tables (its frozen alphabets(): 208,062 dictionary keyword alphabets), configurations W-std, std-W, W-W, rules vig/var/beau, key alphabet standard or W; plus the sculpture's tables (plain and cipher standard or KRYPTOS, key alphabet standard or KRYPTOS, 3 rules).
  2. Every forced key (24 letters) scored by quadgrams over the two windows (as 0125); the 300 best per rule rescored by MIX8m, each window from its own start; the 300 best overall kept.
  3. Statistic: the best MIX8m; K4 ranked among 50 shuffles (seed 246).
  4. The 3 MIX8m-best keys of K4, every shuffle and every plant read by the blind judge, window by window (in one call, blind to which is which); judge score of a text = the mean over its two windows of its MIX8m-best key.
  5. 0125's 20 plants (its frozen make_plants with its seed) through the same search.
9

Result and bounds

The harness's record: candidates, gates, loss, and the negative result this experiment leaves behind.

0candidates returned
0passed every gate
0/24known letters, best
–lowest loss
nonechampion before

K4 best MIX8m -103.3 bits, p 0.588 against 50 shuffles; plants found 20/20 by MIX8m; judge K4 18.5 against copies max 46.0, plants above every copy 12/20

What was searched, as the harness recorded it.

item
F14.3
tables
1,248,380
readings per text
3,745,140
space
0125's 208,062 dictionary keyword tables x 3 configurations x 2 key alphabets, plus the sculpture's 4 table pairs x 2 key alphabets; 3 rules
ranking
quadgrams over both windows (as 0125), the 300 best per rule rescored by MIX8m (0233), window by window
texts
71
copies
50
k4 best
-103.308, -5.473, ILLTRICKFRKACMUCHUNKMUNT, CATBIRD std-W key W, vig
k4 p mix8m
0.588
copies best mix8m max
-95.76
copies best mix8m median
-102.483
plants found mix8m
20
plants
20
plant truth rank in top300
1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1
plant best mix8m
-68.636, -56.627, -60.812, -88.27, -88.132, -78.647, -82.357, -57.189, -66.339, -71.653, -86.463, -68.341, -70.087, -66.756, -65.844, -70.366, -84.046, -65.501, -62.68, -61.899
judge calls estimated
426
judge none
0
judge k4
18.5
judge copies max
46
judge copies median
10
judge k4 above every copy
no
judge plants
55, 58.5, 60, 33.5, 37, 26.5, 45, 62.5, 62, 42, 52.5, 43.5, 37.5, 51, 55, 53.5, 62, 33.5, 51, 63.5
judge plants found
12
k4 top3
  1. -103.308, -5.473, ILLTRICKFRKACMUCHUNKMUNT, CATBIRD std-W key W, vig
  2. -106.714, -5.565, RTHCLMANFSEAGANAMIXOPEDC, SKIAMETRY W-W key std, beau
  3. -107.109, -5.452, TSBIZKSLOSTAKRESTINTPSIA, POETHOOD W-W key std, var
exhaustive
yes
compute seconds
227

How this experiment sits among the others is on the lineage page; its family's open hypotheses are on the families page.

Rendered from the record on 2026-11-05 17:14 UTC; updated after every experiment.
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