Pivot P20

From the cheaper decider to ciphertext only

Why the search changed course at this point, what had happened before, and the change we believed was needed.

2026-10-27. After experiment 229, before 230. From A cheaper decider (D1) to F13 ciphertext only.

Why we pivoted then

D1 cannot go further without a decision. Design 2's power for one free alphabet is flat in the number of runs, so one run is within sampling noise of ten, but the pre-registered rule asks for power "at least" the ten-run power, which a noisy comparison meets only at ten runs (0229). Whether a stated margin is allowed is Alexis's call (#100). D2 waits on D1. The queue's next table is F13 (#85), whose first item is a desk count.

What happened before

The change we believe is needed

All pivots are on the pivots page; the pivots are also marked on the experiments chart and the lineage.

Rendered from the record on 2026-11-05 17:14 UTC; updated after every experiment.
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