“Which two-stage recipe, a move and a table, makes both of K4's width fingerprints at once”
0018, 0027, 0062 and 0065 simulated one-stage recipes and asked about one fingerprint at a time. Here the recipes are the two-stage constructions of experiments 80 to 88 (a K3-style move before or after a repeating key, the self-feeding autokey, and 0087's column-plus-row key), and the question is the joint one: how often does a recipe make the width-7 doublet column and the width-21 repeats in the same 97 letters?
K4the carved letters The 97 letters cut into the copper at the CIA, shown at the top of every experiment page. has two odd patterns: when written in rows of 7, its doubled lettersthe doublets Places where a carved letter is immediately followed by the same letter. stack in one column, and when written in rows of 21, letter pairs repeat straight down more than chance allows. A good guess at the method should make both patterns at once. We build thousands of fake coppers with each two-step recipe tried in experiments 80 to 88, a grida grid Writing the message into rows of some width and reading it out in another order, column by column for instance, which shuffles the letters without changing them. move and the tablethe table The right-hand half of the sculpture, 26 rows of the alphabet each shifted one place further, starting from the word KRYPTOS., and count how often each recipe makes both patterns together.
Words in the margin are defined on the glossary page.
1.1
The method at work
The carved letters go in at the top; the reading comes out at the bottom.
the marks
K4 has two oddities: five of its six doubled letters fall in one column of a 7-wide grid, and in rows of 21 eleven letter pairs repeat straight down. Either alone turns up by chance now and then.
the test
Twenty-nine recipes, moves and keys in both orders, each enciphered 20,000 stretches of English. A recipe that made K4 should produce both marks together far more often than chance.
the result
No recipe produces both more than twice in 20,000. The column-plus-row key at width 7 makes the doublet column only at the chance rate, so 0087's premise that it explains the column does not hold.
2
Best candidate against the known letters
This experiment produced no candidate: the search ruled everything out before a full text was built. Its product is the bounded negative in section 7.
3
Walkthrough, by hand
Redo the method on a few letters with pencil and paper.
Take 97 letters of Carter's English.
Recipe example: write them in rows of 7, read the columns in a random order, then add a random 7-letter key on the sculpture's table.
Find the doubled letters in the result and their places mod 7: is all but at most one in the same column, with at least four?
Write the result in rows of 21 and count letter pairs that repeat straight down: at least 11?
Repeat 20,000 times per recipe and count how often each mark and both appear.
the worksheet: the first steps by hand, on squared paper
4
Worked example, generated
The same steps run by the code on the real letters.
K4's two marks
doublets (place of first letter) and place mod 7:
BB at 19-20: column 4
QQ at 26-27: column 4
SS at 33-34: column 4
SS at 43-44: column 0
ZZ at 47-48: column 4
TT at 68-69: column 4
letter pairs 21 apart that repeat: 11
rows of 21:
OBKRUOXOGHULBSOLIFBBW
FLRVQQPRNGKSSOTWTQSJQ
SSEKZZWATJKLUDIAWINFB
NYPVTTMZFPKWGDKZXTJCD
IGKUHUAUEKCAR
5
Hypothesis, for a cryptanalyst
Family, key space, the constraint under test, and the clues it reads.
Type 2 of directions.md, open item 'a joint simulation that makes both fingerprints'. 0056: the width-7 doublet column (5 of 6 doublets in one column) and the width-21 vertical repeats (11 repeated letter pairs 21 apart) survive the look-elsewhere correction (corrected p 0.005 and 0.010); 0062 found ciphertext autokey at lag 21 raises the repeats, 0065 found ciphertext autokey at lag 1 with a period-7 key raises the column, and 0087 found that key = a[j mod 7] + b[j div 7] lines doublets up by construction. Recipes (each 20,000 samples of 97 letters from Carter vol. 1 and K1-K3, random keys): periodic key 7, 14 or 21 with a width-7 columnar, a width-7 quarter turn or a K3-rule move, before or after; ciphertext autokey lag 1 or lag 21 with a period-7 key, with a width-7 move before; the column-plus-row key at width 7 and 21, with and without a move before; and calibrations (random letters, shuffled K4, plain period-7 key). Marks as in 0065 (column: at least 4 doublets and all but one in one column at width 7) and 0056 (repeats: at least K4's 11 at width 21).
6
Prediction
Written before the run; the result decides it.
No recipe makes both marks in more than 1% of samples. The column-plus-row key at width 7 makes the doublet column often (over 10%) but the width-21 repeats only at the chance rate; ciphertext autokey at lag 21 makes the repeats but not the column. Zero candidates.
7
Method
Draw 97-letter stretches of English from Carter vol. 1 and K1-K3.
Encrypt each with a recipe and fresh random keys, routes and orders.
Mark the doublet column at width 7 and the repeats at width 21.
Count each mark and both together per recipe over 20,000 samples.
Compare with the calibrations.
8
Result and bounds
The harness's record: candidates, gates, loss, and the negative result this experiment leaves behind.