Experiment 96

“Which two-stage recipe, a move and a table, makes both of K4's width fingerprints at once”

0018, 0027, 0062 and 0065 simulated one-stage recipes and asked about one fingerprint at a time. Here the recipes are the two-stage constructions of experiments 80 to 88 (a K3-style move before or after a repeating key, the self-feeding autokey, and 0087's column-plus-row key), and the question is the joint one: how often does a recipe make the width-7 doublet column and the width-21 repeats in the same 97 letters?

revertedstatus
experiment 65parents
22 stime, all phases
0candidates
0/24known letters
unclocked
1

The experiment method

What the method does with the 24 known letters.

K4the carved letters The 97 letters cut into the copper at the CIA, shown at the top of every experiment page. has two odd patterns: when written in rows of 7, its doubled lettersthe doublets Places where a carved letter is immediately followed by the same letter. stack in one column, and when written in rows of 21, letter pairs repeat straight down more than chance allows. A good guess at the method should make both patterns at once. We build thousands of fake coppers with each two-step recipe tried in experiments 80 to 88, a grida grid Writing the message into rows of some width and reading it out in another order, column by column for instance, which shuffles the letters without changing them. move and the tablethe table The right-hand half of the sculpture, 26 rows of the alphabet each shifted one place further, starting from the word KRYPTOS., and count how often each recipe makes both patterns together.

Words in the margin are defined on the glossary page.

1.1

The method at work

The carved letters go in at the top; the reading comes out at the bottom.

OBKRUOXOGHULBSOLIFBBWEASTNORTHEASTOTWTQSJQSSEKZZWATJKLUDIAWINFBBERLINCLOCKWGDKZXTJCDIGKUHUAUEKCARIN: THE COPPER, ALL 97 LETTERS, THE 24 KNOWN PLACES IN ACCENTK4's two marks: in rows of 7, five of its six doubled letters start in one column; in rows of 21, 11 letter pairs repeat straight downOBKRUOXOGHULBSOLIFBBWFLRVQQPRNGKSSOTWTQSJQSSEKZZWATJKLUDIAWINFBNYPVTTMZFPKWGDKZXTJCDIGKUHUAUEKCARrows of 7column 4OBKRUOXOGHULBSOLIFBBWFLRVQQPRNGKSSOTWTQSJQSSEKZZWATJKLUDIAWINFBNYPVTTMZFPKWGDKZXTJCDIGKUHUAUEKCARrows of 21: cells in a repeating vertical pair (11 repeats)Each mark alone is rare. A recipe that explains K4 should make both at once.Each recipe below enciphered 20,000 stretches of Carter's English; counts are how many showed each mark.doublet column, in 20,00011+ repeats at 21, in 20,000both, in 20,000width-7 columnar, then ciphertext autokey lag 1 + period-7 key172382K3-rule move, then period-14 key461082width-7 quarter turn, then period-14 key44582K3-rule move, then column-plus-row key, width 742442period-14 key, then width-7 quarter turn38862calibration: period-7 key alone382942width-7 quarter turn, then period-21 key34802width-7 columnar, then ciphertext autokey lag 21 + period-7 key26582period-21 key, then width-7 quarter turn22662ciphertext autokey lag 1 + period-7 key280480column-plus-row key, width 752280calibration: random letters32320calibration: shuffled K43860never more than 2the column-plus-row key in rows of 7 makes the doublet column 52 times in 20,000, about the rate of random letters (32) and shuffled K4 (38): so it does not explain the column, as 0087 assumed it wouldOUT: NO READING; NO RECIPE MAKES BOTH MARKSEASTNORTHEASTBERLINCLOCK
the marks

K4 has two oddities: five of its six doubled letters fall in one column of a 7-wide grid, and in rows of 21 eleven letter pairs repeat straight down. Either alone turns up by chance now and then.

the test

Twenty-nine recipes, moves and keys in both orders, each enciphered 20,000 stretches of English. A recipe that made K4 should produce both marks together far more often than chance.

the result

No recipe produces both more than twice in 20,000. The column-plus-row key at width 7 makes the doublet column only at the chance rate, so 0087's premise that it explains the column does not hold.

2

Best candidate against the known letters

This experiment produced no candidate: the search ruled everything out before a full text was built. Its product is the bounded negative in section 7.

3

Walkthrough, by hand

Redo the method on a few letters with pencil and paper.

  1. Take 97 letters of Carter's English.
  2. Recipe example: write them in rows of 7, read the columns in a random order, then add a random 7-letter key on the sculpture's table.
  3. Find the doubled letters in the result and their places mod 7: is all but at most one in the same column, with at least four?
  4. Write the result in rows of 21 and count letter pairs that repeat straight down: at least 11?
  5. Repeat 20,000 times per recipe and count how often each mark and both appear.
the worksheet: the first steps by hand, on squared paper
K4'S TWO MARKS: DOUBLED LETTERS BY COLUMN OF 7, AND PAIRS 21 APART THAT REPEATdoubletplacescolumn (place mod 7)BB19-204QQ26-274SS33-344SS43-440ZZ47-484TT68-694Five of six in column 4; the test asks for atleast four doublets with at most one outsidethe main column.OBKRUOXOGHULBSOLIFBBWFLRVQQPRNGKSSOTWTQSJQSSEKZZWATJKLUDIAWINFBNYPVTTMZFPKWGDKZXTJCDIGKUHUAUEKCARRows of 21: a letter and the one below it form a pair. 11pairs repeat one seen earlier (LS, BS, LW, IT, QZ, KK, WA, SN,ZT, AZ, PK); accent marks their cells.The test asks for 11 or more.
4

Worked example, generated

The same steps run by the code on the real letters.

K4's two marks

doublets (place of first letter) and place mod 7:
  BB at 19-20: column 4
  QQ at 26-27: column 4
  SS at 33-34: column 4
  SS at 43-44: column 0
  ZZ at 47-48: column 4
  TT at 68-69: column 4

letter pairs 21 apart that repeat: 11

rows of 21:
  OBKRUOXOGHULBSOLIFBBW
  FLRVQQPRNGKSSOTWTQSJQ
  SSEKZZWATJKLUDIAWINFB
  NYPVTTMZFPKWGDKZXTJCD
  IGKUHUAUEKCAR
5

Hypothesis, for a cryptanalyst

Family, key space, the constraint under test, and the clues it reads.

Type 2 of directions.md, open item 'a joint simulation that makes both fingerprints'. 0056: the width-7 doublet column (5 of 6 doublets in one column) and the width-21 vertical repeats (11 repeated letter pairs 21 apart) survive the look-elsewhere correction (corrected p 0.005 and 0.010); 0062 found ciphertext autokey at lag 21 raises the repeats, 0065 found ciphertext autokey at lag 1 with a period-7 key raises the column, and 0087 found that key = a[j mod 7] + b[j div 7] lines doublets up by construction. Recipes (each 20,000 samples of 97 letters from Carter vol. 1 and K1-K3, random keys): periodic key 7, 14 or 21 with a width-7 columnar, a width-7 quarter turn or a K3-rule move, before or after; ciphertext autokey lag 1 or lag 21 with a period-7 key, with a width-7 move before; the column-plus-row key at width 7 and 21, with and without a move before; and calibrations (random letters, shuffled K4, plain period-7 key). Marks as in 0065 (column: at least 4 doublets and all but one in one column at width 7) and 0056 (repeats: at least K4's 11 at width 21).

6

Prediction

Written before the run; the result decides it.

No recipe makes both marks in more than 1% of samples. The column-plus-row key at width 7 makes the doublet column often (over 10%) but the width-21 repeats only at the chance rate; ciphertext autokey at lag 21 makes the repeats but not the column. Zero candidates.

7

Method

  1. Draw 97-letter stretches of English from Carter vol. 1 and K1-K3.
  2. Encrypt each with a recipe and fresh random keys, routes and orders.
  3. Mark the doublet column at width 7 and the repeats at width 21.
  4. Count each mark and both together per recipe over 20,000 samples.
  5. Compare with the calibrations.
8

Result and bounds

The harness's record: candidates, gates, loss, and the negative result this experiment leaves behind.

0candidates returned
0passed every gate
0/24known letters, best
–lowest loss
nonechampion before

Rates column / repeats / both: width-7 columnar, then ciphertext autokey lag 1 + period-7 key: 0.0086 / 0.0019 / 0.0001; K3-rule move, then period-14 key: 0.0023 / 0.0054 / 0.0001; width-7 quarter turn, then period-14 key: 0.0022 / 0.0029 / 0.0001; K3-rule move, then column-plus-row key, width 7: 0.0021 / 0.0022 / 0.0001; period-14 key, then width-7 quarter turn: 0.0019 / 0.0043 / 0.0001; calibration: period-7 key alone: 0.0019 / 0.0147 / 0.0001; width-7 quarter turn, then period-21 key: 0.0017 / 0.0040 / 0.0001; width-7 columnar, then ciphertext autokey lag 21 + period-7 key: 0.0013 / 0.0029 / 0.0001; period-21 key, then width-7 quarter turn: 0.0011 / 0.0033 / 0.0001; ciphertext autokey lag 1 + period-7 key: 0.0140 / 0.0024 / 0.0000; period-7 key, then width-7 quarter turn: 0.0035 / 0.0137 / 0.0000; column-plus-row key, width 7: 0.0026 / 0.0014 / 0.0000.

What was searched, as the harness recorded it.

family
joint construction simulation of the width-7 doublet column and the width-21 repeats
samples per recipe
20,000
recipes
29
k4
column
yes
repeats21
11
plaintext source
Carter vol. 1 (284,914 letters) and K1-K3
rates
width-7 columnar, then ciphertext autokey lag 1 + period-7 key
column
0.009
repeats
0.002
both
0
both if independent
0
K3-rule move, then period-14 key
column
0.002
repeats
0.005
both
0
both if independent
0
width-7 quarter turn, then period-14 key
column
0.002
repeats
0.003
both
0
both if independent
0
K3-rule move, then column-plus-row key, width 7
column
0.002
repeats
0.002
both
0
both if independent
0
period-14 key, then width-7 quarter turn
column
0.002
repeats
0.004
both
0
both if independent
0
calibration: period-7 key alone
column
0.002
repeats
0.015
both
0
both if independent
0
width-7 quarter turn, then period-21 key
column
0.002
repeats
0.004
both
0
both if independent
0
width-7 columnar, then ciphertext autokey lag 21 + period-7 key
column
0.001
repeats
0.003
both
0
both if independent
0
period-21 key, then width-7 quarter turn
column
0.001
repeats
0.003
both
0
both if independent
0
ciphertext autokey lag 1 + period-7 key
column
0.014
repeats
0.002
both
0
both if independent
0
period-7 key, then width-7 quarter turn
column
0.004
repeats
0.014
both
0
both if independent
0
column-plus-row key, width 7
column
0.003
repeats
0.001
both
0
both if independent
0
period-7 key, then width-7 columnar
column
0.002
repeats
0.013
both
0
both if independent
0
K3-rule move, then period-7 key
column
0.002
repeats
0.015
both
0
both if independent
0
width-7 columnar, then period-7 key
column
0.002
repeats
0.01
both
0
both if independent
0
width-7 quarter turn, then period-7 key
column
0.002
repeats
0.009
both
0
both if independent
0
period-14 key, then width-7 columnar
column
0.002
repeats
0.005
both
0
both if independent
0
width-7 columnar, then period-14 key
column
0.002
repeats
0.003
both
0
both if independent
0
period-21 key, then K3-rule move
column
0.002
repeats
0.003
both
0
both if independent
0
ciphertext autokey lag 21 + period-7 key
column
0.002
repeats
0.003
both
0
both if independent
0
calibration: shuffled K4
column
0.002
repeats
0
both
0
both if independent
0
period-14 key, then K3-rule move
column
0.002
repeats
0.006
both
0
both if independent
0
width-7 columnar, then period-21 key
column
0.002
repeats
0.004
both
0
both if independent
0
period-21 key, then width-7 columnar
column
0.002
repeats
0.003
both
0
both if independent
0
K3-rule move, then column-plus-row key, width 21
column
0.002
repeats
0.002
both
0
both if independent
0
calibration: random letters
column
0.002
repeats
0.002
both
0
both if independent
0
K3-rule move, then period-21 key
column
0.002
repeats
0.005
both
0
both if independent
0
column-plus-row key, width 21
column
0.002
repeats
0.002
both
0
both if independent
0
period-7 key, then K3-rule move
column
0.001
repeats
0.012
both
0
both if independent
0
best both
width-7 columnar, then ciphertext autokey lag 1 + period-7 key
best column
ciphertext autokey lag 1 + period-7 key
best repeats
calibration: period-7 key alone

How this experiment sits among the others is on the lineage page; its family's open hypotheses are on the families page.

Rendered from the record on 2026-10-18 12:26 UTC; updated after every experiment.
view on GitHub