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18 useful razors and rules:

1. Bragging Razor - If someone brags about their success or happiness, assume it’s half what they claim

If someone downplays their success or happiness, assume it’s double what they claim

2. High Agency Razor - If unsure who to work with, pick the person that has the best chances of breaking you out of a 3rd world prison.

3. The Early-Late Razor - If it's a talking point on Reddit, you might be early. If it's a talking point on LinkedIn, you're definitely late.

4. Luck Razor - If stuck with 2 equal options, pick the one that feels like it will produce the most luck later down the line.

I used this razor to go for drinks with a stranger rather than watch Netflix. In hindsight, it was the highest ROI decision I've ever made.

5. Buffett's Law - "The value of every business is 100% subject to government interest rates" - Warren Buffett

6. The 6-Figure Razor - If someone brags about "6 figures" -- assume it's closer to $100K than $900K.

7. Parent Rule - Break down the investments your parents made in you: Time, Love, Energy, and Money.

If they are still alive, aim to hit a positive ROI (or at least break even.)

8. Instagram Razor - When you see a photo of an influencer looking attractive on Instagram -- assume there are 99 worse variations of that photo you haven't seen.

They just picked the best one.

9. Narcissism Razor - If worried about people's opinions, remember they are too busy worrying about other people's opinions of them. 99% of the time you're an extra in someone else's movie

10. Everyday Razor - If you go from doing a task weekly to daily, you achieve 7 years of output in 1 year. If you apply a 1% compound interest each time, you achieve 54 years of output in 1 year.

11. Bezos Razor - If unsure what action to pick, let your 90-year-old self on death bed choose it.

12. Creativity Razor - If struggling to think creatively about a subject, transform it:

• Turn a thought into a written idea.
• A written idea into a drawing.
• A drawing into an equation.
• An equation into a conversation.

In the process of transforming it, you begin to spot new creative connections.

13. The Roman Empire Rule - Historians now recognize the Roman Empire fell in 476 - but it wasn't acknowledged by Roman society until many generations later.

If you wait for the media to inform you, you'll either be wrong or too late.

14. Physics Razor - If it doesn't deny the law of physics, then assume it's possible. Do not confuse society's current lack of knowledge -- with this knowledge being impossible to attain.

E.g. The smartphone seems impossible to someone from the 1800s -- but it was possible, they just had a lack of knowledge.

15. Skinner's Law - If procrastinating, you have 2 ways to solve it:

• Make the pain of inaction > Pain of action
• Make the pleasure of action > Pleasure of inaction

16. Network Razor - If you have 2 quality people that would benefit from an intro to one another, always do it.

Networks don't divide as you share them, they multiply.

17. Gell-Mann Razor - Assume every media article contains a % of false information.

Sandbox the article from your worldview until you've:

• Seen primary sources
• Spoken to 3 domain experts

18. Taleb's Surgeon - If presented with two equal candidates for a role, pick the one with the least amount of charisma.

The uncharismatic one has got there despite their lack of charisma. The charismatic one has got there with the aid of their charisma.

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Just turned 30 and these are the non-obvious rules that always produced outsized returns when following them -- and outsized downside when neglecting them.

Taken from my newsletter. Link below.

Michael Bloomberg:

Take lots of chances, and make lots of individual, spur-of-the-moment decisions!

"Although I was serious about my career, I never had a “budget" for my future.

Unlike so many of my classmates, I didn't set out to be a partner or vice president at age thirty, or a trillionaire at thirty-five.

Make a comprehensive scheme for the rest of my life?

Both at business and at home, I've never let planning get in the way of doing.

Life, I've found, works the following way:

Daily, you're presented with many small and surprising opportunities.

Sometimes you seize one that takes you to the top.

Most, though, if valuable at all, take you only a little way.

To succeed, you must string together small incremental advances—rather than count on hitting the many lottery jackpot once.

Trusting to great luck is a strategy not likely to work for most people.

As a practical matter, constantly enhance your skills, put in as many hours as possible, and make tactical plans for the next few steps.

Then, based on what actually occurs, look one more move ahead and adjust the plan.

Take lots of chances, and make lots of individual, spur-of-the-moment decisions.

Don't devise a Five-Year Plan or a Great Leap Forward. Central planning didn't work for Stalin or Mao, and it won't work for an entrepreneur either."

Healthcare is quietly going through a paradigm shift because of AI.

Since 2010, VC firms have poured $44B+ into healthcare-focused AI/ML startups

Insights from @byFounders:

• Healthcare is a $10 trillion "problem": Spending is soaring globally but health outcomes such as life expectancy are plateauing—or even declining, and disease prevalence is rising.

• There is hope (thanks to AI): The rapid progress in AI is sparking a generational shift in how healthcare operates: from automating back office workflows to augmenting decision-making.

The future startups are building towards:

• Personalized and full-context: We will no longer have to turn to the dark corners of the internet for self-diagnosis; instead, we will all have access to a personal AI health companion that has access to the full context of our health. This is what Livv Health is building towards.

• Human-centered care: The days of manual note-taking into clunky systems are a relic of the past: startups like Corti and Nabla are eliminating doctors’ time spent on documentation—giving back “the gift of time” to clinicians.

• AI-augmented: With OpenEvidence providing easy access to medical literature and startups such as Glass Health supporting clinical decision-making, we are poised for a future where every doctor can make the best decision, grounded in evidence and augmented by real-time AI.

I locked myself in the garage for 3 years - to create what I see as the most impactful machine that can possibly be created. I built it from scratch with my hands and my own design ethos.
This is “The Story Behind Mona.”

Mona learned to stand stable on her legs in February 2022 and started reasoning about her actions in December 2022.

At Kind Humanoid, we are now developing humanoid robots with general task capability to assist humans in building an inspiring tomorrow. Follow for updates.

#KindHumanoid #Humanoid #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #HumanoidRobot

Editorial texture shot w/Midjourney 🝆

PROMPT:
A close-up composition featuring a variety of oil droplets in water, with the subject being the interplay of these elements. The background should be implied rather than explicit, suggested by the distorted reflection of pine needles or similar foliage within the droplets. Additional elements include smaller bubbles scattered around the larger droplets, adding complexity. The effect to capture is the intricate light reflections and refractions within the droplets, utilizing a warm colour palette of yellow, amber, and burgundy. The overall composition should fill the frame, showing a depth of field with larger droplets in the foreground and smaller ones fading into the background